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85 ASIA-PACIFIC POPULATION JOURNAL
March 1998, Vol. 13, N° 1
Urbanization and migration in the ESCAP region.
This article groups urban areas in the ESCAP region by their characteristics in order to provide comparisons and policy-relevant differences in the pattern of urbanization from one part of the region to another. It also examines the significance of migration as a component of urban growth. The article concludes by drawing out a number of implications of these factors for policy purposes.
English - pp. 3-24.
R. Skeldon, Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Salaya, Nakornpathom 73170, Thailand.
(ASIA, OCEANIA, URBANIZATION, MIGRATION, POLITICS, MEGALOPOLIS)
Spatial effects of "informal urbanization" in China: The case of Fujian province.
The development of township and village enterprises and the increase in temporary residents have been two forms of "informal urbanization" in China since the 1980s. The article reveals that this phenomenon has some important spatial effects on the country's urbanization, which could not be identified by analysing conventional data. It concludes that this type of urbanization will lead to a much more decentralized urban system than conventional analysis would suggest.
English - pp. 25-44.
Yu Zhu, Institute of Geography, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China.
zhu300@coombs.anu.edu.au.
(CHINA, GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION, URBANIZATION)
99.85.6 - WANG, Duolao; DIAMOND, Ian; CURTIS, Siān L.
Contraceptive failure and its subsequent effects in China: A two-stage event history analysis.
This study examines the determinants of contraceptive failure and its consequences. It identifies various difference in the occurrence of contraceptive failure and the ways such pregnancies are resolved, i.e. whether the failure ends in abortion or a live birth. The article concludes by drawing out the implications of the research for policy and programme purposes.
English - pp. 45-64.
D. Wang, Population Studies, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, U.K.
D.Wang@les.ac.uk.
(CHINA, CONTRACEPTION FAILURES, IUD)
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85 ASIA-PACIFIC POPULATION JOURNAL
September 1998, Vol. 13, N° 3
99.85.7 - ISLAM, M. Mazharul; AL MAMUN, Abdullah; BAIRAGI, Radeshayam.
Fertility and its proximate determinants in Bangladesh: Evidence from the 1993/94 Demographic and Health Survey.
This study examines the recent level, trends and proximate determinants of fertility in Bangladesh, utilizing data from the 1993/94 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey. The study shows that the 1993/94 BDHS recorded a dramatic fall in the level of fertility, from 6.3 births per woman in 1975 to 3.4 in 1993/94. It also shows that the contraceptive prevalence rate reached a current CPR of 45 per cent in 1993/94, a dramatic increase over the 7.7 per cent level in 1975. The analysis shows that there is an appreciable rise in the proportion never married and a fall in the proportion currently married at early ages among females, indicating a rising trend in age at marriage. Two variables, marriage and lactational amenorrhoea period, are not likely to have effects that can be raised much owing to socio-economic and cultural reasons. The use of contraception will be the dominant factor in further reductions in fertility.
English - pp. 3-22.
M. M. Islam, Department of Statistics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
duregstr@bangla.net.
(BANGLADESH, FERTILITY DECLINE, FERTILITY DETERMINANTS, AGE AT MARRIAGE, CONTRACEPTIVE USAGE)
The social and demographic correlates of divorce in rural Bangladesh.
This articles examines the rate of divorce by age, sex and duration of marital life at the time of divorce in rural Bangladesh for a period of 18 years from 1975 to1992. An attempt has also been made to investigate the extent to which the incidence of divorce changes with the various socio-economic and demographic characteristics. The overall divorce rates per thousand married males and females declined from 16.1 to 11.5 and 11.8 to 8.4, respectively, during the study periods 1975-1979 and 1989-1992. For females of age 20 and above, the divorce rates fell consistently with age. Divorces have been taking place in early married life, with the average duration of marriage at the time of divorce declining from 2.3 years in 1975-1980 to 1.7 years in 1987-1992. The propensity to divorce declines significantly with an increase in the number of children.
English - pp. 23-40.
K. Shaikh, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh.
kshaikh@cis.icddrb.org.
(BANGLADESH, DIVORCE RATE, MARRIAGE DURATION, TRENDS)
99.85.9 - RAJAN, S. Irudaya; ZACHARIAH, K. C.
Long-term implications of low fertility in Kerala, India.
The State of Kerala is about two decades ahead of India as a whole in achieving the replacement level of fertility. Currently the total fertility rate is about 1.7 children per woman compared with 3.0 for India. Because of the remarkable progress made by Kerala in its demographic transition, its demographic trends in the first half of the twenty-first century will be dramatically different from those of the second half of the twentieth century. This article provides a basis for policy makers to use in preparing for those changes, which include population ageing in the face of inadequate social security systems, impacts on young people, education and employment, and migration.
English - pp. 41-66.
S. I. Rajan and K. C. Zachariah, Centre for Development Studies, Trivandrum, Kerala, India.
(INDIA, STATE, FERTILITY DECLINE, BELOW REPLACEMENT FERTILITY, DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION, PROJECTIONS)
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