Back to home page1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 12
Demographic Estimates for 1993: Immigration Higher than Ever Before (Demografische ramingen voor 1993: immigratie bereikt recordomvang) (p. 13-20)
On the basis of the first eight months statistics of 1993, the author estimates the annual number of population movement in the Netherlands. Total immigration in 1993 is expected to be around 125,000 which is higher that ever before. The main cause of this increase is the strong rise in the number of asylum seekers. The number of births is declining slightly but temporary. The number of deaths is increasing due to an influenza epidemic in spring. Gobally, the population growth will be higher in 1993 than in 1992. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION SITUATION)
Population Forecasts 1993: Population Will Increase by 2.5 Million Inhabitants (Bevolkingsprognose 1993: nog 2,5 miljoen inwoners erbij) (p. 21-27)
The Netherlands Population Forecasts are updated annually. In the 1993-base forecasts, the total net migration is assumed to be higher. In 2030, maximum population size will reach 17.7 million inhabitants (16% more than the current population size). According to the previous forecasts this number would have been 17.3 million. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION PROJECTIONS)
Non-Dutch Nationals in the Netherlands on 1st January 1993 (Niet-Nederlanders op 1 januari 1993) (p. 28-43)
On 1st January 1993, 757,000 non-Dutch nationals lived in the Netherlands, i.e. 5% of the total population. The largest category of non-Dutch nationals was Turkish, followed by the EC-nationalities and the Moroccans. The author shows the population situation of various sub-population of foreigners in 1992, emphasizing on nuptiality and on naturalization. (NETHERLANDS, FOREIGNERS, DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES)
94.67.04 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS and R. NOORDAM
Increase in Removals within the Netherlands in 1992 (Stijging verhuizingen binnen Nederland in 1992) (p. 44-49)
The number of persons moving home within the Netherlands increased from 1.520 million in 1991 to 1.570 million in 1992. Compared with 1987, the highest point of the 80s, the 1992 level was still 6% lower. During 1992, 742,000 persons changed address in family context, whereas 828,000 persons moved individually. The moving families counted on average 2.94 persons. (NETHERLANDS, CHANGES OF RESIDENCE)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 1
94.67.05 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS
Probability of Grand-parenthood Not Down Yet (Kans op grootouderschap neemt pas op termijn af) (p. 6-8)
In the generations born in the 1930s, 84% of people will have at least one grandchild and, on average, 4.7 grandchildren. The decline in fertility has only had a limited impact on the probability of being a grandparent and yet, 25% of the people in the generation born in 1965 will have no grandchidren if their order-specific fertility distribution also applies to their children. These results and some others have been drawn from a combination of the fertility rates of two successive generations by supposing that their parity-specific distributions are independent. (NETHERLANDS, FERTILITY, GENERATIONS)
Still 636 Municipalities in the Netherlands (Nederland telt nog 636 gemeenten) (p. 9)
Between 1950 and 1994, the number of municipalities in the Netherlands dropped from 1,015 to 636 which can explain more than 60% of the increase in the average number of inhabitants in each municipality. It is the more sparsely inhabited municipalities which tend most to disappear: there are only 10% left with less than 5,000 inhabitants (against 61% in 1950). (NETHERLANDS, ADMINISTRATIVE DISTRICTS)
Internal Mobility per Municipality, 1992 (Binnenlandse verhuismobiliteit per gemeente, 1992) (p. 10-11)
In 1992, overall internal mobility in the Netherlands amounted to 103 per thousand. In only 91 of the 647 municipalities was this figure greater than the national level. Larger municipalities have higher levels of internal mobility and residential mobility between municipalities than the smaller ones. (NETHERLANDS, INTERNAL MIGRATION)
Children Legitimized by Marriage (Door huwelijkssluiting gewettigde kinderen) (p. 12-13)
From 1977 to 1993, the number of marriages which legitimized the births of one or several children increased from 1.1% to 4.0% of the total number of marriages. Each of these marriages was responsible for legitimizing an average of 1.3 children, each of which had an average age of 2.2 years. While the age-specific legitimization rates observed in 1992 were for long identical, 30% of illegitimate births were to be legitimized by marriage sooner or later. It would appear that, in fewer and fewer cases are these unwanted births. It is more likely that a legitimization will occur in the case of a previously divorced woman than an unmarried one. (NETHERLANDS, ILLEGITIMATE CHILDREN, LEGITIMATION)
94.67.09 - Dutch - W.D. VAN HOORN
The Future Population Development of the Dutch Provinces (De toekomstige bevolkingsontwikkeling van de provincies) (p. 14-16)
According to the 1993 regional population forecasts, the relative population distribution amongst the twelve provinces in the Netherlands will remain relatively stable. Up to the year 2015, the population numbers will increase in every province, although rather more rapidly in some of them (the younger ones) than in others, but a decline in the numbers aged between 0 and 14 will be noticed in a few of them. Both the numbers and the proportion of people aged over 65 will increase significantly everywhere. (NETHERLANDS, PROVINCES, POPULATION PROJECTIONS)
94.67.10 - Dutch - J. DE BEER and A.H. SPRANGERS
Forecast of International Migration 1993-2000 (Migratieprognose 1993-2000) (p. 17-28)
The immigration forecasts presented herewith are specific to each country of origin and the authors describe the hypotheses on future trends which are specific both to each country and to each category of migrant. Overall, certain types of immigration which will decrease in the future will be more than compensated for by family reunions. (NETHERLANDS, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, PROJECTIONS)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 2
94.67.11 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
Asylum Requests up 75% in 1993 (Asielverzoeken in 1993 met 75% gestegen) (p. 6-11)
According to the Dutch Ministry of Justice, there were 35,400 requests for political asylum in 1993, or a 75% increase over 1992 while the number of expulsions declined. Nearly 30% of those requesting asylum used to live in ex-Yugoslavia. Requests from Irakis have increased significantly. The article lists the differences between statistics on asylum requests and immigration statistics in the Netherlands. (NETHERLANDS, POLITICAL ASYLUM)
Less Births in Europe in 1993 (Minder geboorten in Europa in 1993) (p. 12-14)
In 1993, there were about 8 million children born in Europe or 4% less than in 1992. It is likely (since Russian statistics were not yet known) that the total number of deaths has increased slightly. The natural balance has thus continued its decline and it is not yet sure that it still remains positive. The natural balances in the various countries are estimated and compared in the light of the most recent demographic statistics. Some migratory currents are also presented. (EUROPE, NATURAL MOVEMENT)
94.67.13 - Dutch - A. DE GRAAF
Two out of Three Young Women use the Pill (Tweederde van de jonge vrouwen gebruikt de pil) (15-19)
According to the Dutch Survey on Fertility and the Family (1993), three-quarters of women aged from 18 to 42 use some form or other of contraception, 10% are pregnant or are trying for a baby, 5% are infertile while 10% do not use any contraceptive method for some other reason. Compared with previous surveys between 1982 and 1988, the success of the coil is on the wane while that of the pill is increasing, particularly amongst younger women. Contraception has become an everyday matter for 90% of Dutch women of childbearing age which could mean that the Netherlands is the most "contracepting" country in the world. (NETHERLANDS, CONTRACEPTIVE PREVALENCE, ORAL CONTRACEPTIVES)
Multiple Births in the Netherlands, 1990-1993 (Meerlingen in Nederland, 1900-1993) (p. 20-21)
Since the beginning of this century, the annual frequency of multiple births has varied from 10.2 to 14.9 per thousand births. This trend has tended to increase since 1975 which is partly due to the distribution of certain hormonal treatments for sterility. The number of people in the Netherlands born from a multiple birth of which neither twin is dead is estimated at over 127,000. (NETHERLANDS, MULTIPLE BIRTHS)
94.67.15 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS
Moslems and Hindus in the Netherlands: Revised Time Series (Islamieten en Hindoes in Nederland: herziening van de tijdreeks) (p. 22-27)
Since the last census in the Netherlands (1971), statistics on Muslims and Hindus have been published by the National Statistical Office, based on international migration statistics and certain hypotheses on the fertility and mortality of these groups. In recent times, it has been possible to make new estimates using counts from the municipal population registers. The differences between these two types of estimate are described and explained and the author suggests some corrections to the statistical series from 1971 onwards. (NETHERLANDS, MUSLIMS, HINDUS, QUALITY OF DATA)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 3
94.67.16 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
More and More Dutch Nationals Return from South Africa (Steeds meer Nederlanders keren terug uit Zuid-Afrika) (p. 6-7)
More than 61,000 Dutch people emigrated to South Africa between 1950 and 1992 while more than 41,000 came back to the Netherlands. The political events in South Africa were a decisive factor in the fluctuations in these migratory flows. Since late 1989, return migration of Dutch people from South Africa has been increasing rapidly while mobility in the opposite direction has remained quite stable. (NETHERLANDS, SOUTH AFRICA, MIGRATION FLOW)
94.67.17 - Dutch - J.J. LATTEN
Change in the Demographic Life-course (Verandering in de demografische levensloop) (p. 8-14)
Using the preliminary results of the 1993 Dutch Survey on Family and Fertility, the author demonstrates the recent transformations in the life cycle of individuals: the successive stages (leaving parents, cohabiting, getting married, having a first child) and the age at which these stages are reached. Trends tend to remain quite regular from one generation to another except for the age at which young adults leave their parents' homes which, first of all, happened later, then advanced. The author attempts to forecast the demographic life cycle for the next generations. (NETHERLANDS, LIFE CYCLE)
94.67.18 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS
Twenty per Thousand Inhabitants of Zeeland were Born in Belgium (Twintig van iedere duizend Zeeuwen zijn in België geboren) (p. 15-16)
The proportions of Dutch people born in the neighbouring countries varies significantly from one province to another and are particularly high in the border provinces. But at the "second generation", the children born in the Netherlands who have at least one parent born aborad are already more uniformly spread out over the country. (NETHERLANDS, FOREIGNERS, GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION)
94.67.19 - Dutch - W.D. VAN HOORN
Growing Influence of External Migration on Dutch Population Growth (Buitenlandse migratie steeds belangrijker factor in bevolkingsgroei) (p. 17-18)
Over the past thirty years, approximately one-fifth of Dutch population growth has been due to international migration. Today, this proportion has reached one-third and is still increasing. After the year 2020, the natural balance will be negative, but the positive migratory balance will allow the population to continue its growth until 2030, after which the Dutch population will begin to decline in numbers. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION GROWTH, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, PROJECTIONS)
Stillbirths in the Netherlands, 1992 (Doodgeborenen, 1992) (p. 19-21)
Since July 1991, statistics on stillbirths include foetuses from the age of 24 weeks onwards, which has resulted in approximately 20% of an increase in the number of stillbirths from 1992 onwards. The socio-demographic characteristics of these stillbirths (sex, mother's age, birth order, legitimacy) do not seem to have been modified in any way by this reform. (NETHERLANDS, LATE FOETAL MORTALITY)
94.67.21 - Dutch - J. DE BEER and H. VISSER
Effect of Future Demographic Development on Medical Consumption (Effecten van toekomstige demografische ontwikkelingen op medische consumptie) (p. 22-29)
The authors discuss various technical and methodological issues raised by the combination of age-specific medical consumption rates with population forecasts in order to estimate the volume and structure of medical consumption in the future. Population growth and ageing are the main demographic factors in medical consumption trends. A detailed presentation is made of the Dutch case. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, MEDICAL CARE)
94.67.22 - Dutch - P.I. CORBEY
No More Censuses (Geen volkstellingen meer) (p. 30-33)
The last Dutch census was undertaken in 1971. The censuses, which go as far back as 1795, were undertaken more or less regularly every ten years from 1829 onwards. Because of pressure from both public opinion and the Parliament, the Government decided against carrying out the 1981 census and the census law was voted in, in 1991. The National Statistical Office now uses population registers and sample surveys in order to draw up any population statistics required by the European Union. The author highlights the few problems which have occurred because of this procedure with regard to coherence and precision. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION CENSUSES, DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 4
More Separations than Divorces (Meer scheidingen dan echtscheidingen) (p. 6-8)
Since the mid-1980s, in the Netherlands, the number of divorces has remained relatively stable, while separations have been increasing. This is due to the spread of cohabitation (currently, there are over half a million unmarried couples living together) and to the fact that consensual unions tend to be less stable than marriages. Four per cent of women born in the early 1960s got a divorce before the age of 28, but 17% are separated from their partner. In the Netherlands today, there are more than twice as many separations as divorces. (NETHERLANDS, SEPARATION, DIVORCE)
94.67.24 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
Emigration of Turks and Moroccans Still at a Low Level (Emigratie van Turken en Marokkanen blijft laag) (p. 9-11)
The great majority of the Turks and Moroccans who immigrate to the Netherlands settle for good. Ten years after their arrival, 70% of Turks and more than 80% of Moroccans are still there. Furthermore, many of those who do leave come back: more than 40% of Turks and 50% of Moroccans who left the Netherlands between 1981 and 1985 have now come back. (NETHERLANDS, TURKEY, MOROCCO, IMMIGRANTS, EMIGRATION)
1993 Top Year Dutch Nationality Grants (Recordaantal naturalisaties in 1993) (p. 12-14)
In 1993, the number of naturalizations reached a record level since the last War, mainly due to the fact that, since 1992, the fact of becoming Dutch no longer means having to lose one's nationality of origin. It is mainly Turks who have benefited from this: 18,000 of them acquired Dutch nationality in 1993 followed by Moroccans and citizens of Surinam and ex-Yugoslavia. (NETHERLANDS, NATURALIZATION)
94.67.26 - Dutch - A.H. SPRANGERS
Residents Originating from One of the Member States of the European Union (Personen afkomstig uit de andere lidstaten van de Europese Unie) (p. 15-17)
In early 1992, the population of the Netherlands included 283,000 people who had been born in another country of the European Union and 442,000 others who had at least one or other of their father or mother born in a country outwith the European Union. Those with their roots in Germany were the most numerous in both categories. (NETHERLANDS, EUROPE, NATIONALITY)
Decreasing Total Fertility Rates in Europe (Dalend totaal vruchtbaarheidscijfer in Europa) (p. 18-20)
Due to the almost general decline in the total fertility rate throughout Europe over the last forty years, this rate is now under the level of replacement of generations in most countries. The records for low fertility are held by Italy, Spain and Germany. The author analyses the explanatory context of some of the conditions resulting in these variations and compares Europe to the other continents. (EUROPE, REPLACEMENT FERTILITY)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 5
94.67.28 - Dutch - A.H. SPRANGERS
Somali in the Netherlands (Somaliërs in Nederland) (p. 6-7)
Since the civil unrest in Somalia grew worse in the late 1980s, approximately 15,000 Somalian refugees have arrived in the Netherlands. In 1993, the number of Somali residents amounted to 7,000 while it had increased to 13,000 by the beginning of 1994. (NETHERLANDS, SOMALIA, REFUGEES)
94.67.29 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
Biggest Number of non-Dutch National Immigrants in 1993 was Born in One of the Former Yugoslav Republics (Grootste groep niet-Nederlandse immigranten in 1993 geboren in het voormalige Joegoslavië) (p. 8-13)
The slight increase in immigration in 1993 is mainly due to the increase in the number of immigrants born in ex-Yugoslavia and Somalia. Immigration of Dutch people has declined by 7%. The author discusses the nationality-specific migratory flows in 1993 and underlines the issue raised by the large number of late recordings of entries and exits in the municipal population registers, although this is more of a problem for internal migration than for international migration. (NETHERFLANDS, IMMIGRANTS)
On 1st January 1994, More than 5% of the Total Population of the Netherlands Were Non-Dutch Nationals (Op 1 januari 1994 was ruim 5% van de totale bevolking van Nederland een niet-Nederlander) (p. 14-17)
According to municipal population registers, 5.1% of the Dutch population is foreign, or 779,000 people. The largest proportion is of Turks, followed by European Union nationals and Moroccans. The increase in the numbers of foreign population was lower in 1993 than in 1992 because of the large numbers of naturalizations. The author describes the share of natural growth, migratory balance, naturalizations and administrative regularizations in the development of foreign population numbers in given age groups. (NETHERLANDS, FOREIGNERS)
94.67.31 - Dutch - W.D. VAN HOORN
External Migration Slows Down Ageing of the Dutch Population (Migratie vermindert vergrijzing) (p. 18-21)
In the Netherlands, net migration is higher for males than it is for females. The average age of migrants has been increasing recently (and currently lies at 25), most of them are unmarried and their demographic characteristics are different from those of the Dutch population. Because of this, the excess number of males which represented some 5% at birth increases by a few percentage points and the population's average age drops. International migration slows down ageing, but doesn't halt it completely. (NETHERLANDS, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, DEMOGRAPHIC AGEING)
Slight Increase Centenarians in the Netherlands (Lichte stijging honderd-plussers) (p. 22)
Diversity of Couple Relationships (Verscheidenheid in partner-relaties) (p. 23-29)
Dutch women are tending more and more often to spend a short span of their life cohabiting. Most of the couples who do cohabit eventually marry while the others split up. Using the data from the 1993 Dutch Survey on Family and Fertility, the author compares married women who have lived with their partner prior to marriage, those who went straight into marriage and those who are currently cohabiting with a partner. He has noted significant variations in attitude and behaviour. (NETHERLANDS, PREMARITAL COHABITATION)
94.67.34 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS et J. LEVERING
Nuclear Families by Family Life Cycle Category, 1 January 1992 (Gezinnen naar gezinsfase, 1 januari 1992) (p. 30-39)
Using a computerized data extraction of Dutch municipal population registers, the authors describe the relative proportions of nuclear families according to the various categories of family composition and highlight their main development trends. (NETHERLANDS, FAMILY COMPOSITION)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 6
Decrease in the Expectation of Life at Birth in the Netherlands During 1993 (Daling van de levensverwachting bij de geboorte in 1993) (p. 6-8)
Life expectancy at birth has dropped slightly in the Netherlands between 1992 and 1993: from 74.30 years to 73.99 for males and from 80.28 years for females to 80.00. Using the method developed by Arriaga (Demography, 1984, no. 1), the author establishes the fact that this decline is entirely due to an increase in the male mortality quotients above the age of 55 and the female quotients above the age of 65. (NETHERLANDS, EXPECTATION OF LIFE AT BIRTH)
Children Become Adults (Kinderen worden volwassen) (p. 9-17)
In the framework of the 1993 Dutch Survey on Family and Fertility, 3,700 males and 4,500 females aged between 18 and 43 were interviewed about, amongst other things, the age at which they left their parents' homes. This process begins at about the age of 18; 10% of females are still living with their parents at the age of 26, but, at the age of 30, 10% of males can still be found living with their parents. On average, females will leave their parents at 21.3 years of age while this increases to 23.6 for males. Using the characteristics of the interviewees and the circumstances surrounding their departure from their original household, the author has drawn up a typolgy of the various ways in which this stage of the life cycle can occur. (NETHERLANDS, FAMILY LIFE CYCLE)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 7
94.67.37 - Dutch - J. DE BEER and H. VISSER
Effects of Future Demographic Development on Education (Effecten van toekomstige demografische ontwikkelingen op onderwijs) (p. 6-12)
Given the demographic development that is foreseen for the coming decades, the number of school pupils and students will increase up until the year 2010 and then decline. This trend will vary depending on the type of education and the average age of pupils and students which reflects the echo effect of the post-war baby boom. But beside the demographic factors, the factors behind schooling rates will also have an impact on the trends in these numbers, to the point that they will probably reverse the forecasted trend. (NETHERLANDS, SCHOOL POPULATION, PROJECTIONS)
Proposition of the Mayors by Political Party in 1994 (Verdeling van de burgemeesterposten in 1994) (p. 13-14)
94.67.39 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
Dutch Resident Changes Seven Times in a Lifetime (Inwoner van Nederland verhuist zevenmaal in zijn leven) (p. 15-16)
According to the statistics collected in 1992, residents of the Netherlands will move house seven times on average over their lifespan. Women tend to be more mobile than men, which is partly due to the fact that they live for six years longer. The average age on moving home is 30.3 years for males and 31.0 years for females. (NETHERLANDS, RESIDENTIAL MOBILITY, SEX DIFFERENTIALS)
94.67.40 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS and R. VERHOEF
Demographic Review of the Netherlands 1993 (Demografie van Nederland 1993) (17-33)
As of January 1st, 1994, there were 15.34 million inhabitants in the Netherlands or an increase of 102,000 over the previous year. Population growth was slightly lower in 1993 than in 1992. The authors describe the various components of this growth and trends in certain population characteristics before presenting official forecasts up to the year 2030. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION SITUATION)
1994 - VOLUME 42, NUMBER 8
94.67.41 - Dutch - Judith VOCKING
Background of the Immigration of Surinamese People since 1980 (Achtergronden van de immigratie van Surinamers vanaf 1980) (p. 6-14)
In order to explain transformations in the immigration structures of the Surinamese, account must be taken of the fact that their age structure is the same in both the Netherlands and Surinam. The age group 15-44 years is relatively large. Given the fact that many people migrate in order to get married, the age structure can be considered as a demographic determinant of emigration. In both 1983 and 1987, the increase in immigration could be explained by the political situation in Surinam. But the high increase in the number of Surinamese immigrants during the latter months of 1993 would appear to be due more to the worsening economic situation in that country, in particular since 1991. (NETHERLANDS, SURINAME, IMMIGRATION)
94.67.42 - Dutch - J. DE BEER and H. NICOLAAS
26,000 Asylum Seekers in First Half of 1994 (26 duizend asielzoekers in eerste halfjaar van 1994) (p. 15-18)
According to the Dutch Ministry of Justice, the number of people requesting political asylum reached 26,000 during the first half of 1994, or more than double the same period in 1993. These people tend to come mainly from ex-Yugoslavia (30%), Somalia, Iran and the ex-Soviet Union. The author recalls that a large number of people requesting asylum does not automatically translate into a large number of new immigrants. (NETHERLANDS, POLITICAL ASYLUM)
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