Back to home page1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 5
93.67.14 - English - J.J. LATTEN and C.J. VEENSTRA
A Changing Society and Its Population Statistics. Reorientations in the Netherlands
Modern society can be characterised by its growing complexity which is reflected in its population structures. Traditional demographic patterns and categories do not take proper account of the changes which affect household formation and composition or the population's ethnic structure, nor do they explain or foresee developments in immigration and procreative behaviour. In order to do so, specially adapted basic demographic statistics are required which also permit a study of the consequences of policies on social welfare, education, integration of ethnic minorities, housing and environment. The NCBS therefore strives continually to adapt the spread and definitions of its demographic statistics. (NETHERLANDS, DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS, INSTITUTES OF STATISTICS, METHODOLOGY)
JUNE 1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 6
93.67.15 - Dutch - J. van der HEIJDT and C.J.M. PRINS
Enumeration from Municipal Population Registers, 1st January 1992. Main Results (Registertelling 1 januari 1992. Belangrijkste uitkomsten)
The authors describe the count undertaken by the Dutch Central Statistical Office, collecting data from all the municipal population registers. Some of the methodological problems encountered are described, such as how to deal with missing data. The overall results of the count are presented and commented on, with the emphasis on household distribution by family type, the continued growth in the number of people living alone, the population of foreign origin and its specific population characteristics. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION SITUATION, ENUMERATION, POPULATION REGISTERS)
93.67.16 - Dutch - A.H. SPRAIVGERS
International Migration in Last Two Centuries (Twee eeuwen buitenlandse migratie)
Since the beginning of last century, there have been 5.7 million immigrants into the Netherlands while only 5.4 million emigrants have left the country. Emigration was, generally speaking, more significant than immigration in the 19th century; however, they tended to become more balanced durin the first half of the 20th century. Then, immigration from the ex-Dutch colonies grew in size and there was also the arrival of workers from the Mediterranean countries, followed by their families. In recent times, the number of people seeking asylum has increased considerably. (NETHERLANDS, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, HISTORY)
1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 7
93.67.17 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS
Demography of the Netherlands in 1992 (Demografie van Nederland 1992)
The author describes the main parameters of population trends in the Netherlands in 1992 and compares them with several periods in the past. He reviews not only population numbers and traditional indicators of nuptiality, fertility, mortality and migration, but also various results on specific sub-populations (foreigners, refugees, etc.) or on specific socio-demographic phenomena (mixed marriages, gap between male and female life expectancies, etc.). (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION SITUATION)
1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 8
93.67.18 - Dutch - J. DE BEER, A. DE JONG and H. VISSER
National Household Forecasts, 1993 (Nationale Huishoudensprognose 1993)
The Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics (NCBS) published its preliminary household projections in 1992, based on 1991 population projections. Using people's marital status, a hypothesis of population distribution in six categories was made according to the individual's status in the household. As the population projections are updated on an annual basis, it was decided that the household projections should also be revised yearly. These latest projections take account of new information on households which has been collected in recent surveys on housing and employment. The authors make a detailed presentation of the results of these projections which cover up to the year 2010. (NETHERLANDS, HOUSEHOLD, PROJECTIONS)
What Use are Projections of the Number of Political Asylum Requests in 1993 and 1994? (Voorspelling van het aantal asielzoekers in 1993 en 1994: hoe betrouwbaar?)
In the Netherlands, the total number of requests for political asylum in any given year is projected on the basis of the monthly numbers during the first half of the year. The author compares projection errors contained in the seven calculation methods used. He classifies the methods according to their quality and concludes that the most precise method uses a linear extrapolation of trends during the first six months after correction for seasonal variations. (NETHERLANDS, POLITICAL ASYLUM, PROJECTIONS, QUALITY OF DATA, METHODOLOGY)
1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 9
93.67.20 - Dutch - C.N. HARMSEN and J. VAN DER HEIJDT
People and Families from Suriname, the Netherlands Antilles and Aruba Residing in The Netherlands as of January 1st, 1992 (In Nederland woonachtige Surinaamse, Antilliaanse en Arubaanse personen en gezinnen, 1 januari 1992)
A census of the municipal population registers revealed that 171,000 people born in Suriname and 64,000 born in the Netherlands Antilles and Aruba were living in The Netherlands as of January 1st, 1992. There were 92,000 second-generation immigrants who had at least one parent born in Suriname and 27,500 with at least one parent born in The Antilles or Aruba. The authors follow the history of the various waves of migration between The Netherlands and its (ex-)colonies in order to provide detailed socio-demographic statistics on this specific sub-population. The demographic characteristics, both at an individual and a family level, of these minorities are systematically compared to those of the overall Dutch population. (NETHERLANDS, SURINAME, NETHERLANDS ANTILLES, IMMIGRANTS, ENUMERATION)
93.67.21 - Dutch - H. NICOLAAS
A Slight Decrease in Immigration in 1992 (Lichte daling immigratie in 1992)
There were 117,000 immigrants to The Netherlands in 1992, or 3,000 less than the previous year. On the other hand, emigration increased by almost 3%. Given the uncertainty of emigration statistics, it is believed that 40% of total population growth is due to the positive migration balance. The author forecasts that this trend will continue in the years to come. He then presents a detailed analysis of these migrants by nationality, sex, country of origin and destination, etc., and compares the situation in 1992 to that in 1991. He particularly underlines the high increase in the number of requests for political asylum in recent years. (NETHERLANDS, INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION, POLITICAL ASYLUM, POPULATION MOVEMENT)
The Divorce Rate Increases when the "Consumer Disposition" Rate Declines (Echtscheidingscijfer stijgt bij daling van consumentenvertrouwen)
Trends in the total divorce rate from 1973 to 1992 can be explained by using a "consumer disposition" rate, which is the rate of propensity to purchase (with a one-year time lapse). Annual variations in this rate explain 76% of the difference in variations of the divorce rate. It therefore explains the high increase in divorces in the early 1980s, the decrease in the middle of the decade and its considerable growth in 1992. (NETHERLANDS, DIVORCE RATE, VARIANCE ANALYSIS, CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR)
OCTOBER 1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 10
93.67.23 - Dutch - W.D. VAN HOORN
Most Unmarried Mothers End Up in a "Family" Situation (Meerderheid van ongehuwde moeders leeft (uiteindelijk) in soort gezinssituatie)
In the Netherlands non-marital fertility increased rapidly after 1975, especially non-marital first births. At the same time, the character of this phenomenon has strongly changed: from undesired pregnancies of single unmarried women to family-formation of cohabiting women, who often marry some years later. In the long run, only approximately one in every six women is a non-cohabiting lone parent. (NETHERLANDS, UNMARRIED MOTHERS, FAMILY FORMATION)
93.67.24 - Dutch - C.J.M. PRINS
Fertility among Moroccan and Turkish Women Down (Dalend kindertal Marokkaanse en Turkse vrouwen)
According to the 1991/1992 age-specific fertility rates TPFR for Moroccan born women is 4.34. This is about half a child less than in 1989/1990. Given the characteristics of the TPFR, this decrease should be interpreted carefully. TPFR for women born in Turkey fell by 0.24. For almost all ages, especially those above 40, age-specific fertility rates in 1991/1992 were less than in 1989/1990. For women under 20, however, the fertility rates increased. This increase is due to the rise in family-formation immigration during the 80s. As this type of immigration among Turks was lower in 1992 than in 1991, fertility among young women born in Turkey might increase less, or even decrease. This does not seem to be the case for young women born in Morocco since family-formation immigration by Moroccans remained stable in 1992. (NETHERLANDS, IMMIGRANTS, FERTILITY TRENDS)
93.67.25 - Dutch - A.H. SPRANGERS
Foreign Population in the Countries of the European Community, 1 January 1991 (Buitenlandse ingezetenen in de landen van de Europese Gemeenschap, 1 januari 1991)
According to Eurostat (the Statistical Office of the European Community) in 1991 the Federal Republic of Germany counted the largest number of non citizens (5.5 million) compared with the other countries of the European Community. A majority of 3 million non citizens in Germany had a European but non-EC nationality, mostly Turkish. In France in 1991 there were some 3.6 million non citizens, many of them Africans, especially from Algeria and Morocco. The United Kingdom counted 2.4 million non citizens. The most numerous group from outside the European Community are the Turks (2.2 million persons in 1991). The Moroccan population in the European Community numbered some 1.1 million persons. (WESTERN EUROPE, FOREIGNERS)
93.67.26 - Dutch - W.D. VAN HOORN
Proportion of Young People Will Remain Stable in the Near Future (Ontgroening voorlopig ten einde)
For a decade now, the number of births has been rising. The main cause is the large group of women, born in the 60s, who are in their (early) 30s at the moment and who are 'postponed' having children. Around the year 2000 the number of births will reach its maximum. As the number of births is periodical, every 30 years there will be a small baby-boom. Consequently, in the next century the number of people under 30 years will be rather constant. The proportion of (potentially dependent) people under 20 years in the whole population will decrease less than in the past decades. (NETHERLANDS, AGE DISTRIBUTION, PROJECTIONS)
1993 - VOLUME 41, NUMBER 11
93.67.27 - Dutch - A.H. DE JONG
National Household Projections, 1993 : Household Size (Nationale Huishoudensprognose 1993: huishoudens naar grotte)
In 1993, for the first time, Dutch projections distinguish between households on the basis of their size. Another new feature is the appearance of data on family composition according to children's age. The household projection model uses population projections and a fertility sub-model (by age, generation, rank and inter-birth interval) and the age-specific probabilities of children leaving the home. The author presents some of the results of these projections such as the household type and size according to the woman's age and generation or according to the age of the youngest child. Comparing the model's results with the data in the 1987 and 1992 population registers allows to conclude that the model offers a mirror image of reality. The author makes a separate analysis of households where the woman lives with a husband and those where she is alone or with any children she may have. He concludes with comments on trends in household size up to the year 2010. (NETHERLANDS, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION, HOUSEHOLD SIZE, DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS)
93.67.28 - Dutch - M.P. EIJKHOUT and L.J. BIESEMAN
The Population in Institutionalized Households as of January 1st, 1992 (De bevolking in institutionele huishoudens, 1 januari 1992)
The population in institutionalized households includes people living in retirement homes, nursing homes, psychiatric hospitals and similar institutions. As of January 1st, 1992, this population category contained 250,000 people living in 5,400 institutions which represents 1.7% of the total Netherlands population. Just over half live in retirement homes and almost two-thirds of these are women of whom 70% are aged over 75 and 71% are widows. From 1960 to 1981, there was a regular increase in the numbers living in institutions but, from 1981 onwards, these numbers began to decline. (NETHERLANDS, INSTITUTIONAL POPULATION)
93.67.29 - Dutch - C.N. HARMSEN and J.VAN DER HEIJDT
Turks, Moroccans and Their Families in The Netherlands as of January 1st, 1992 (In Nederland woonachtige Turkse en Marokkaanse personen en gezinnen, 1 januari 1992)
As of January 1st, 1992, 159,000 people born in Turkey and 131,000 people born in Morocco were living in The Netherlands. The second generation included 141,000 people with at least one parent who was born in Turkey and 115,000 with at least one parent born in Morocco. For 90% of the second generation, both their parents were born in either Turkey or Morocco. The authors recall the history of Turkish and Moroccan immigration to The Netherlands and develop a statistical description of the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of these two minorities by comparing them to the overall Dutch population. (NETHERLANDS, TURKEY, MOROCCO, IMMIGRANTS, ENUMERATION)
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