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WORLD HEALTH STATISTICS QUARTERLY
1992 - VOLUME 45, NUMBER 2/3
COMMUNICABLE DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGY AND CONTROL
93.77.01 - English - D.A.P. BUNDY, A. HALL,
G.F. MEDLEY, WHO Collaborating Centre for the Epidemiology for
Intestinal Parasitic Infections, Imperial College, London (U.K.),
and L. SAVIOLI, Programme on Intestinal Parasitic Infections,
Division of Communicable Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Evaluating Measures to Control Intestinal Parasitic Infections (p.
168-179)
Intestinal parasitic infections are among the most common
infections of human in developing countries, but the resources
available for their control are severely limited. Careful
evaluation of control measures is essential to ensure that they
are cost-effective. The evaluation of the effects of control on
intestinal helminths and intestinal protozoa requires an
understanding of the different epidemiological patterns of these
two groups of parasites. The transmission dynamics and morbidity
associated with the major helminth infections are dependent on the
size of the worm burdens. Thus the important parameter for
evaluating the impact of control on morbidity and transmission is
the intensity of infection, which can be assessed by determining
the mean density of parasite eggs in faecal specimens. The
estimation of intensity is exceptionally sensitive to the size and
demographic structure of the population sample selected for
assessment. With the major protozoan infections, an estimate of
intensity is of little value and the central parameter for
evaluation is prevalence. Prevalence does exhibit age and spatial
heterogeneity, which may be species-specific, so there remains a
need to ensure a consistent sample structure, although this is
less critical than for the helminths. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES,
HEALTH, MORBIDITY)
93.77.02 - English - Michel GARENNE, Caroline
RONSMANS, Center for Population and Development Studies, Harvard
University, Cambridge, MA (U.S.A.), and Harry CAMPBELL, Consultant
in Public Health (Child Health), Fife County Health Board,
Scotland (U.K.)
The Magnitude of Mortality from Acute Respiratory Infections in
Children under 5 Years in Developing Countries (p. 180-191)
This article reviews the available evidence of mortality from
acute respiratory infections (ARI) among children aged under 5
years in contemporary developing countries and compares the
findings with European populations before 1965. Deaths from ARI
played a smaller role after 1950, when the use of antibiotics
became generalized. In developing countries, the role of ARI
mortality seems to be similar to the European experience. The age
pattern is very marked. In absolute values, ARI mortality is
highest in the neonatal period and decreases with age. ARI, mainly
pneumonia, accounts for about 18% of underlying causes of death in
developing countries. Pneumonia and other ARI are frequent
complications of measles and pertussis; ARI is also commonly found
after other infections and in association with severe
malnutrition. Virtually no data are available in developing
countries to prove final estimates of the role of ARI in mortality
of children aged under 5 years. However, the WHO figure of 1 out
of 3 deaths due to - or associated with - ARI may be close to the
real range. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, WHO, YOUTH MORTALITY,
PNEUMONIA)
93.77.03 - English - Gunther F. CRAUN,
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg,
VA (U.S.A.)
Waterborne Disease Outbreaks in the United States of America:
Causes and Prevention (p. 192-199)
During the past decade, 291 waterborne outbreaks were reported in
community (43%) and noncommunity (33%) systems, and from the
ingestion of contaminated water from recreational (14%) and
individual (10%) water sources in the United States. Although
several large waterborne outbreaks occurred, most were in small
communities. The number of illnesses per outbreak in noncommunity
systems is much larger than that reported during any previous
period. The increased occurrence of outbreaks in disinfected
groundwater systems may be due to (i) increased use of
disinfection with little effort to reduce or eliminate sources of
contamination, and (ii) not providing effective, continuous
disinfection. In surface-water systems, outbreaks occur primarily
because of inadequate or interrupted disinfection in systems that
do not provide filtration, but a large increase in outbreaks has
recently occurred in filtered systems. In community systems, most
outbreaks were caused by inadequate disinfection of surface water
(28%) and contamination of water in the distribution systems
(24%), primarily through cross-connections and repairs of water
mains. In noncommunity systems, almost all outbreaks (77%) were
caused by contaminated groundwater. (UNITED STATES, WATER, WATER
POLLUTION, MORBIDITY)
93.77.04 - English - F.-X. MESLIN, Veterinary
Public Health, Division of Communicable Diseases, WHO, Geneva
(Switzerland)
Surveillance and Control of Emerging Zoonoses (p. 200-207)
"Emerging zoonoses" are defined as zoonotic diseases caused either
by apparently new agents, or by previously known microorganisms,
appearing in places or in species in which the disease was
previously unknown. Diseases associated with changing farming
practices, trade and consumer habits. Bacterial enteric diseases
due to Salmonella enteritidis and Echerichia coli 0:157 are
examples of diseases associated with changing farming practices
and consumer habits. Diseases associated with changing
environmental conditions which influence reservoirs, vectors
and/or victim species population parameters. Projects for the
management of water resources (dams, irrigation) have brought Rift
Valley fever to Rosso (Mauritania) and cutaneous leishmaniasis to
countries of northern Africa. Human rabies outbreaks following
contacts with infected vampire bats in Peru and Brazil are
examples of changing vector and victim population parameters.
Pathogens acquiring new properties through adaptation, mutation
and recombination. Recently a new type of equine influenza
viruses, antigenically different from circulating human and equine
influenza strains, were detected in northern China. Early
detection of emerging diseases requires reinforced surveillance on
a global level. This could be achieved by strengthening the
existing network of WHO collaborating centres and particularly
those in developing tropical countries, by providing appropriate
technology and training in detection and characterization of
pathogenic agents. Highly specialized laboratories would serve as
a backup reference resource. (DISEASES, MORBIDITY, WHO)
93.77.05 - French - Silvère SIMEANT, Division
de la Surveillance épidémiologique et Appréciation de la Situation
sanitaire et de ses Tendances, OMS, Genève (Switzerland)
Cholera 1991 - An Old Enemy with a New Face (Choléra 1991 - vieil
ennemi, nouveau visage) (p. 208-219)
The cholera epidemics of the 19th century are described and
reviewed. The extent, incidence and case-fatality rate for the
disease in the seventh pandemic are described. The global
epidemiological situation and its trend at the end of 1991 are
analysed. A review of cholera epidemiology highlights the factors
that might explain the less tragic nature of the disease today.
The role of water, food and direct contagion in transmission of
cholera over the last 20 years is considered in the light of
recent studies and with special reference to the epidemic in Latin
America, where the intense emotion aroused by the disease has
prompted vigorous action that could produce significant and
lasting progress in the health field. (LATIN AMERICA, CHOLERA,
EPIDEMICS)
93.77.06 - English - James CHIN, Maria-Antonia
REMENYI, Florence MORRISON, Forecasting and Impact Assessment
Unit, Office of Research, Global Programme on AIDS, WHO, Geneva
(Switzerland), and Rudolfo BULATAO, Population, Health and
Nutrition Division, World Bank, Washington, DC (U.S.A.)
The Global Epidemiology of the HIV/AIDS Pandemic and its Projected
Demographic Impact in Africa (p. 220-227)
The global epidemiology of HIV/AIDS has evolved to the point that
the pandemic now predominantly affects heterosexuals, especially
in developing countries. This article summarizes the status of the
HIV/AIDS pandemic as of the early 1990s; provides estimates and
short-term projections of AIDS mortality in a hypothetical country
of sub-Saharan country; and describes the major problems
associated with modelling the long-term demographic impact of this
pandemic. (AFRICA, AIDS, EPIDEMICS, MORTALITY, MORBIDITY,
PROJECTIONS)
93.77.07 - English - A. MEHEUS and G.M. ANTAL,
Sexually Transmitted Diseases, Global Programme on AIDS, WHO,
Geneva (Switzerland)
The Endemic Treponematoses: Not Yet Eradicated (p. 228-237)
The endemic treponematoses which comprise yaws, endemic syphilis
(bejel) and pinta constitute a group of potentially disabling and
disfiguring infections which primarily afflict children in
tropical and subtropical areas. The failure of many countries to
integrate active control measures into the functions of the rural
health services led to the gradual build-up and extension of
treponemal reservoirs and the resurgence of foci of increased
disease transmission particularly in communities where standards
of hygiene and health care had remained low. Central and West
Africa are most severely affected by the resurgence of the endemic
treponematoses. In recent years a number of countries (e.g. Ghana,
Côte d'Ivoire and Mali) have launched renewed control efforts,
often combining yaws or endemic syphilis control with other public
health programmes. In Central Africa itinerant pygmy groups are
still highly affected by yaws. In Chad, Sudan and Ethiopia, there
is some evidence of persistent foci of endemic treponematoses. In
the Eastern Mediterranean, bejel has been eliminated from most
areas, but foci of infection have been reported in remote villages
in Pakistan, and some endemic syphilis transmission might still
prevail in nomadic people of the Arabian peninsula. Health
officials in South-East Asia and the Pacific Islands have
documented remaining foci of yaws in at least seven Member States.
In Indonesia widely dispersed foci of infection still persist,
particularly in Irian Jaya, the Moluccas, Sumatra and Kalimantan.
In the Americas, yaws incidence is very low with very small foci
remaining in Suriname, Guyana, Colombia and some islands of the
Caribbean. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ENDEMIC DISEASES, SYPHILIS,
TROPICAL DISEASES, CHILDREN)
93.77.08 - English - Artur GALAZKA, Expanded
Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Control of Pertussis in the World (p. 238-247)
Available data indicate that pertussis remains an important
disease during infancy and childhood, particularly among those who
are inadequately immunized. Some problems have arisen in the
industrialized world where pertussis had been well controlled
previously. In developing countries, immunization coverage with
primary series of three doses of DPT vaccine in infants exceeds
80%, but there are considerable differences in coverage rates
between regions and between and within countries. Failures to
reach and maintain high immunization coverage in developing
countries are caused by multiple factors including weak management
of immunization services, missing opportunities to immunize
eligible children and ineffective information and motivation of
mothers to return to complete the immunization series. More
information on the present epidemiological pattern of pertussis,
especially age distribution of pertussis cases in developing
countries, is needed to develop the policy of booster doses of DPT
vaccine in children >1 year. (CHILDHOOD, CONTAGIOUS DISEASES,
VACCINATION)
93.77.09 - English - Cynthia WHITMAN, Expanded
Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland) et al.
Progress towards the Global Elimination of Neonatal Tetanus (p.
248-256)
Neonatal tetanus (NT) claimed the lives of over 433 000 infants in
1991. It is endemic in 90 countries throughout the world. NT is
still one of the most underreported notifiable diseases, and
routine reporting systems identified only 4% of the NT cases
estimated to have occurred in 1990. Based on WHO estimates,
tetanus toxoid (TT) immunization and clean delivery practices
prevented over 793 000 infant deaths in 1991. 80% of the newborns
who died of NT in 1991 were born in South-East Asia or Africa. Of
the 90 countries endemic for NT, 10% produce 80% of the world's NT
deaths. Half the female population in developing countries risks
unclean deliveries and infants dying of NT. WHO, in conjunction
with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), has developed a
protocol to assist countries in the rapid assessment of suspected
TT failures and in verifying their toxoid potency. (WHO,
NOTIFIABLE DISEASES, NEONATAL MORTALITY, CHILDBIRTH)
93.77.10 - English - Division of Control of
Tropical Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
World Malaria Situation, 1990 (p. 257-266)
Accurate information on the global incidence of malaria is
difficult to obtain because reporting is particularly incomplete
in areas known to be highly endemic. The global incidence of
malaria is estimated to be nearly 120 million clinical cases each
year, with nearly 300 million people carrying the parasite. Some
75% of cases are concentrated in 9 countries (in decreasing
order): India, Brazil, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, Thailand,
Indonesia, Viet Nam, Cambodia and China. Furthermore, within these
countries malaria is concentrated in certain areas. Of a total
world population of about 5.3 billion people, 3.1 billion (59%)
live in areas free of malaria; 1.7 billion people (32%) live in
areas where endemic malaria was considerably reduced or even
eliminated but transmission was reinstated and the situation is
unstable or deteriorating. Areas where endemic malaria remains
basically unchanged, and no national antimalaria programme was
ever implemented, are inhabited by 500 million people (9%), mainly
in tropical Africa. The vast majority of malaria deaths occur in
Africa; estimates vary greatly: a figure of 800 000 deaths per
year in African children has been quoted in 1991 by the WHO
African Region. There are indications that mortality in children
has fallen in some areas because of the widespread use of
antimalarials, of social development and of better education.
There are only a few countries from which the resistance to
chloroquine has not been reported, and the rapid evolution of this
resistance in Africa threatens to hamper the provision of adequate
treatment in rural areas. Resistance to sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine
has developed in South-East Asia, South America and focally in
Africa. In Thailand, there are indications that up to 50% of cases
in certain areas no longer respond to mefloquine therapy, while
the sinsitivity to quinine is also diminishing in areas of
Thailand and Viet Nam. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, MALARIA, TROPICAL
DISEASES)
93.77.11 - English - P. DESJEUX,
Trypanosomiases and Leishmaniases Control, Division of Control of
Tropical Disease, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Human Leishmaniases: Epidemiology and Public Health Aspects (p.
267-275)
The leishmaniases are parasitic diseases caused by different
species of Leishmania, protozoa transmitted by sand flies,
haematophagous biting insects. The reservoir hosts are man
(anthroponotic cycle) and domestic or wild animals (zoonotic
cycle). In man, the disease takes four main clinical forms:
visceral, cutaneous, mucocutaneous and diffuse cutaneous.
Leishmaniasis, which is now found on four continents, is endemic
in 82 countries (21 in the New World and 61 in the Old). Annual
incidence is estimated at some 600 000 new clinical cases,
officially reported, with a global prevalence of 12 million cases
and a population at risk of approximately 350 million.
Nevertheless, it seems clear that official reporting of cases
considerably underestimates the problem. The leishmaniases retard
development and burden countries by weakening the labour force,
calling for expensive treatment which often exceeds the total
primary health care budget (US$ 60-120 per patient) and slowing
down rural development. The leishmaniases can be controlled by
tackling various elements of the transmission cycle. In all foci,
passive case detection, followed by treatment and notification,
should be the basis of the control program. (WHO, PARASITIC
DISEASES)
93.77.12 - English - A. MONCAYO,
Trypanosomiases and Leishmaniases Control, Division of Control of
Tropical Disease, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Chagas Disease: Epidemiology and Prospects for Interruption of
Transmission in the Americas (p. 276-279)
American trypanosomiasis, or Chagas disease, is a parasitic
disease caused by the haemoflagellate protozoa, Trypanosoma cruzi.
The human infection occurs only in the Americas, where it is
widely distributed in the periurban and rural areas of tropical
and subtropical countries, from Mexico to Argentina and Chile. It
is transmitted to man and other mammals mainly through insects,
the triatomine bugs. The results of several serological surveys
indicate an overall prevalence of 16-18 million infected
individuals. Up to 30% of those infected will develop the cardiac
and/or hollow viscera irreversible lesions that characterize
chronic Chagas disease. The endemic countries can be divided into
four groups according to several indicators such as the number of
confirmed human cases, the prevalence of seropositive test in
blood donors and population samples, the presence of infected
vectors and reservoirs, and the existence or absence of
coordinated actions towards the control of this disease. (MEXICO,
ARGENTINA, CHILE, PARASITIC DISEASES, CHRONIC DISEASES)
93.77.13 - English - Harry F. HULL and
Nicholas A. WARD, Expanded Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva
(Switzerland)
Progress towards the Global Eradication of Poliomyelitis (p. 280-
284)
In 1988, the World Health Assembly set the goal of global
eradication of poliomyelities by the year 2000. The current WHO
strategy for eradication uses three primary activities beyond
routine immunization with OPV. They are: (i) improved disease
surveillance, (ii) building a global network of laboratories, and
(iii) supplemental immunization strategies which include mass
immunization campaigns with OPV at the national level, and
targeted campaigns at the local level. Eradication of polio from
the Region of the Americas is close and may have already been
achieved. In other regions, the number of reported polio cases has
declined, largely as a result of high immunization coverage. (WHO,
POLIOMYELITIS, INFECTIOUS DISEASES)
93.77.14 - English - C. John CLEMENTS,
Expanded Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland) et
al.
The Epidemiology of Measles (p. 285-291)
Measles is a highly infectious disease which has a major impact on
child survival, particularly in developing countries. The
importance of understanding the epidemiology of this disease is
underlined by its ability to change rapidly in the face of
increasing immunization coverage. Much is still to be learned
about its epidemiology and the best strategies for administering
measles vaccines. However, it is clear that tremendous progress
can be made in preventing death and disease from measles with
existing knowledge about the disease, and by using the presently
available vaccines and applying well-tried methods of treating
cases. Research in the coming decade may provide more effective
vaccines for use in immunization programmes. An understanding of
the basic epidemiology of measles is a prerequisite for effective
control measures. (CONTAGIOUS DISEASES, MEASLES, VACCINATION)
93.77.15 - English - Scott B. HALSTEAD,
Rockefeller Foundation, New York, NY (U.S.A.)
The 20th Century Dengue Pandemic: Need for Surveillance and
Research (p. 292-298)
By the last decade of 20th century Aedes aegypti and the four
dengue viruses had spread to nearly all countries of the tropical
world. Some two billion persons live in dengue-endemic areas with
tens of millions infected annually. Dengue pandemics were also
documented in the 18th and 19th centuries; they were contained by
organized anti-Aedes aegypti campaigns and urban improvements.
Nearly three million children have been hospitalized with this
syndrome in the past three decades, mainly in South-East Asia.
Recent outbreaks of DHF/DSS in the Pacific Islands, China, India,
Sri Lanka, Cuba and Venezuela are indicators of the high intensity
and rapid spread of dengue transmission. The magnitude of 20th
century dengue pandemic requires urgent improvements in early
warning surveillance by WHO Member States and the development of
the capacity to study underlying mechanisms of the disease. A key
research question is why does DHF/DSS not occur with all second
dengue infections? Two answers have been suggested: (1) a human
resistance gene; (2) the existence of dengue "biotypes". How does a
second dengue infection cause severe disease? A recent study in
Thailand suggests that when antibody residual from the first
infection is able to neutralize a second virus type, even weakly,
a secondary infection will occur, but its severity is down-
regulated and the disease mild. (WHO, TROPICAL DISEASES, ENDEMIC
DISEASES, EPIDEMICS)
93.77.16 - English - Akira IGARASHI,
Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki
University, 1-14 Bunkyo-machi, Nagasaki 852 (Japan)
Epidemiology and Control of Japanese Encephalitis (p. 299-305)
Japanese encephalitis (JE) remains endemo-epidemic in several
countries in East, South-East and South Asia. The disease has been
under control in Japan since the 1970s owing to mass immunization
using mouse-brain-derived inactivated vaccine and to reduced
vector mosquito populations. The vector density which was once
reduced by wide spraying of insecticides in rice fields showed an
increasing trend after the 1980s as a result of mosquito
resistance. In the Republic of Korea, the number of JE cases
showed a significant decrease after 1983 also because of mass
immunization using mouse-brain-derived vaccine. On the other hand,
large outbreaks of JE continued to occur in China, Viet Nam,
Thailand, India, Nepal and Sri Lanka. In China, a hamster-kidney
cell-derived vaccine was developed and used for human
immunization. Besides human JE, the fatal outcome of equine JE is
an economic problem in China. The technology of mouse-brain-
derived inactivated JE vaccine production was transferred from
Japan to India, Thailand and Viet Nam. (ASIA, JAPAN, EPIDEMICS,
VACCINATION, EPIDEMIOLOGY)
93.77.17 - English - Y. GHENDON, Microbiology
and Immunology Support Services, Division of Communicable
Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Influenza - Its Impact and Control (p. 306-311)
Epidemics spread rapidly from country to country and may affect as
many as 500 million people across the world in a moderate
influenza year. The disease, particularly influenza A, kills and
the new influenza viruses which appeared in 1957 (Asian influenza)
and 1968 (Hong Kong) are estimated to have caused at least 100 000
deaths in the United States of America. Deaths from influenza also
occur in years when there is no new virus; at least 10 000 excess
deaths have been documented in the United States during each of 18
different epidemics recorded from 1957 to 1985. As many as 79-80%
of influenza cases can be prevented when the virus inducing the
outbreak and the virus used in the influenza vaccine are closely
related. Preventing 80% of cases would correspond in the United
States to a saving of US$ 2.5 billion. The strategy for influenza
control must be based on the mechanisms of immunity to influenza
in humans. Influenza surveillance plays an important part in the
control of the disease. The emphasis of the WHO influenza
programme established in 1947 is on the rapid isolation and
characterization of new strains needed for effective vaccines. It
is based on a network of 110 WHO-recognized national institutions
for influenza designated by governments in 79 countries and three
WHO collaborating centres for reference and research on influenza.
Each year at the end of February, WHO issues recommendations for
the composition of influenza vaccines to be used in the
forthcoming epidemiological season. (WHO, EPIDEMICS, INFLUENZA,
VACCINATION)
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